If you were to take a look at the Arsenal fans on Twitter this week, you’d have thought something terrible was going to happen this weekend. If you didn’t know any better, it looked as though Arsenal are the team hoping for Spurs to slip up in order to get a guaranteed Champions League place, instead of the other way around. In fact, you might even think that West Brom are fighting in the higher echelons of the league, with Peter Odemwingie one of the most feared strikers in the world, & Chris Brunt the Premier League’s answer to Lionel Messi.
The fact is that, despite our desperate attempts to give Spurs and/or Newcastle the upper hand in this battle for 3rd place, Arsenal are still in pole position. A win would give us a higher points total than last year (we currently sit on 67, but finished with 68 last season) – and remember that last year we were challenging for the title up until the last few games. But the good news about a win isn’t that it would allow Arsenal to reach 70 points – it’s that it would guarantee that 3rd spot. Yes, we know it’s not a trophy (the media don’t need to keep reminding us how long it has been since Vieira scored that penalty), but 3rd place gives us a spot in the Champions League group stages. We won’t need another wondersave from Szczesny to secure those six group games.
The good news is that Theo Walcott might be back for the West Brom game, and I will be glad to see him return. He may not be everybody’s cup of tea, and he’s certainly inconsistent, but he can provide match-winning moments and hopefully we will see that from him on Sunday.
Wenger also noted that Park & Squillaci are doubts, which is a blow. Without them on the bench, the whole balance of the team could be lost. It definitely seems that van Persie’s goalscoring form coincided with Park’s arrival at the club (let’s forget his great form at the end of last season). The correlation is undeniable. So if Park isn’t on the bench on Sunday, van Persie may struggle to find goals. If Squillaci is also unavailable, we won’t be able to see a repeat of his great performance at The Hawthorns last season. If you don’t remember it, have a look here. He was class.
There are lots of stats floating around, indicating that Arsenal have a great record vs West Brom, and that the Baggies have a poor home record (only 6 wins there all season – the same number as relegated Blackburn). Stats are interesting, but relatively pointless when it comes to one off games. You can look at stats over time, and they can give indications of home teams/players are improving/weakening. But when it comes to final-day drama against a 10th place Premier League side, anything can happen.
Arsenal has shown it can perform in big games this season – Udinese (A), Spurs (H), Chelsea (A), Man City (H). These were games Arsenal ‘needed’ to win, according to fans and the media. And we did. On Sunday, we do need to win. It’s not quite a cup final – there’s no trophy at the end of it and we can still get the prize without winning (if Spurs/Newcastle don’t win). But it’s a massive game with big ramifications if we let that CL spot slip away.
Therefore, I expect Yossi to start, in what may be his final game for the club. Wenger may want to sign him up to keep that squad depth which is so important, but Benayoun may decide his future lies at a mid-table club, as he stated earlier in the season. However given his increasing involvement recently, he might be persuaded otherwise. Then again, with the signing of Podolski, Yossi may find his chances even less frequent next campaign.
I’ll write a bit more about this game tomorrow, so for now I’ll end with some other news. Firstly, Henry’s goal against Blackburn has been credited as an own goal, taking his tally down to 228 goals. The Dubious Goals Panel really is heartless. Thierry grabbed three goals on his return to the club, and they’ve taken that from him, even though the shot looked like it was on target. Even if it wasn’t, just give him the goal, at least for sentimental reasons! Scott Dann certainly doesn’t want to take credit for it.
Alan Pardew has deservedly won the Premier League Manager of the Season award, with Kompany receiving the Player of the Season award. He’s been great this season, but let’s be honest, he won it for that header against Man Utd. If City weren’t odds-on to win the title, the award surely would’ve gone to Robin, who has had the season of his life (and will probably never score as many goals in one season again).